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Taper Surprise: Investors Become More Defensive On European Equities After FOMC Postponed Policy Shift Dialogue On Sept. 18, According To Russell Indexes

Date 27/09/2013

Defensive-oriented stocks in Europe have bounced back since Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke recently announced the decision to continue its historic bond buying program. After gravitating toward more dynamic-oriented stocks and moving away from defensive-oriented stocks when Bernanke first discussed tapering on May 22, in the past week investors appear to have moved back into defensive-oriented European stocks and sectors, as illustrated by the Russell Indexes.

  • After underperforming the Russell Developed Europe Dynamic Index by more than 6% between May 22 and September 17, the Russell Developed Europe Defensive Index outperformed its Dynamic counterpart by 0.3% between September 18 and September 24.
  • The Russell Developed Europe Index Healthcare sector, after losing (-3.3%) between May 22 and September 17, has gained 0.7% between September 18 and September 24. The Russell Developed Europe Index Consumer Staples sector, after losing (-3.4%) between May 22 and September 17, has gained 0.3% between September 18 and September 24.

"The FOMC 'no taper' decision surprised the market and suggests that the Fed's assessment is that U.S. economic and inflation data are softer than they had previously let on," said Stephen Wood, Chief Market Strategist at Russell Investments. "Given the yield implications of the Fed's non-move, and the expectation of another acrimonious debt-ceiling negotiation in Washington, index data suggest that European investors appear to have taken a more defensive stance, gravitating toward higher quality defensive stocks and defensive sectors."

 
--------------------------------------------- -------------- --------------
                                                              Sept 18, 2013
                                Jan 1, 2013 - May 22, 2013 -   - Sept 24,
Index                           May 21, 2013   Sept 17, 2013      2013
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Russell Developed Europe Index           13.5%           1.7%           0.4%
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Russell Developed Europe
 Defensive Index                         14.6%          -0.8%           0.5%
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Russell Developed Europe
 Dynamic Index                           12.4%           5.3%           0.2%
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Russell Developed Europe Index
 Sector
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Technology                               15.7%           6.3%           0.6%
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Utilities                                12.1%           5.1%           0.5%
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Producer Durables                        13.1%           5.8%           0.8%
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Consumer Discretionary                   17.4%           7.0%           0.2%
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Energy                                    6.8%          -2.0%           0.3%
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Materials & Processing                    1.8%           2.0%          -0.3%
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Consumer Staples                         14.8%          -3.4%           0.3%
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Health Care                              22.4%          -3.3%           0.7%
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Financial Services                       15.7%           2.0%           0.2%
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Source: Russell Investments.