2016 has not being going well for the world’s markets. The New Year has seen the S&P 500® retrace and then plunge through the lows established last August; the rest of the world’s equity markets have largely performed even worse. Accordingly, nearly every volatility measure in our report is up.
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The CBOE Oil ETF Volatility Index – at 67.9 – closed yesterday at its highest levels since February 2009.
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Although VIX® has risen, last night’s close of 27 remains well below last summer’s mid-40s peak. On a historical basis, the current levels are indicative of only serious concern for U.S. equities, not panic - yet.