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ICAP’s Labour Market Indices Show Improved Year-On-Year Hiring Demand But Increased Competition For Jobs Following Recent Improvements

Date 16/07/2013

June data for the UK Labour Market Indices (UK LMI) shows higher vacancy levels compared to 2012 but increased applications per vacancy.  Despite in-month vacancy declines, the ICAP Vacancy Index remains positive, growing 2.39pts in June.  After recent improvements however, the ICAP Unemployment Index grew by 4.1% in June to reach levels 29% above 2012.

Highlights from the June data release:

  • On a MoM basis, both permanent and temporary vacancies fell in June (-6.9% and -4.5%)
  • On a YoY basis however, permanent and temporary vacancies grew +6.5% and +14.5%
  • A 4.0% increase in applications per vacancy in June suggests the recent falls in claimant count may start to level out
  • Average offered salaries fell for a fourth consecutive month on a 3m rolling basis (-0.6%), although remains 2.3% above the same period last year
  • Education & Training and Automotive remain the top two sectors with the strongest quarterly growth, with vacancies increasing 33.8% and 20.0% quarter-on-quarter respectively.  Both sectors also witnessed strong growth YoY (23.6% and 38.4%)
  • As noted last month, Electronics and New Media remain the two sectors with the largest declines in permanent vacancy demand over the quarter (-20.8% and -21.3% respectively).  Both sectors also fell YoY (-9.7% and -3.9% respectively)
  • As well as strong permanent vacancy demand, the Automotive sector once again had large gains in temporary vacancies, growing 50.5% over the quarter and 61.9% YoY
  • Telecommunications saw the largest fall in temporary vacancy demand over the quarter

(-26.1%).  Travel & Tourism and Advertising & PR also experienced declines of more than 20% over the three months (-23.2% and -20.9% respectively)

Headline Indices from the June data release:

Jun-13

Index Description

UK LMI Unemployment Index

+4.01%

Uses the number of applications/vacancies during June 13.  The index is a timely indicator for current job-seeking levels and correlates with the ONS Unemployment Claimant Count.

UK LMI Offered Salaries Index

-0.61%

Sector-weighted average of offered salaries.

UK LMI Vacancies Index

 

+2.39pts

Uses the number of advertised vacancies during June 13 to produce a timely indicator for current hiring levels by employers.  The index is a leading indicator for future employment figures and correlates with the ONS Vacancies figure.

UK LMI Employment Index

+7.20pts

Uses the number of advertised vacancies during April 13 to produce a timely indicator for employment levels during June 13.  The index correlates with the ONS Employment figures.

 

Sector highlights from the June data release:

Quarterly Permanent Vacancy Growth by Sector

Apr 13-Jun 13 vs. Jan 12-Mar 13

Top 5 sectors                                                                                                                 

ICAPImage009

Bottom 5 sectors  

ICAPImage010

Quarterly Temporary Vacancy Growth by Sector

Apr 13-Jun 13 vs. Jan 12-Mar 13

Top 5 sectors  

ICAPImage011

Bottom 5 sectors             

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