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SIFMA Issues Checklist In The Event US Interest Rates Turn Negative

Date 21/12/2020

SIFMA today issued a white paper titled “U.S. Negative Interest Rates Policy Checklist.”  The checklist, which was co-authored by SIFMA and Ernst & Young LLP (EY), was developed to assist SIFMA and other market participants with planning for the potential of a negative interest rate policy in the U.S., accelerate readiness, and mitigate the risk of disruption to business activities and investors.


“While SIFMA is not forecasting a U.S. negative interest rates policy, near term, our members do consider the need to prepare for such a possibility. While the probability is low, the impact would be high,” said Charles DeSimone, vice president, SIFMA Operations, Technology and Business Continuity Planning.  “We believe it is prudent to consider policies for such an environment, just as we engage in other preparedness activities in the operations space.”

This paper describes how certain capital markets products may be impacted in the event of a U.S. negative interest rate policy.  It also provides a checklist of key considerations that can be used by industry participants and/or SIFMA member firms to assess the potential impacts of a U.S. negative interest rate policy and mobilize negative interest readiness programs within their institutions.

The checklist is structured across the following key themes: negative interest rates program governance and mobilization; financial exposure analysis; contract and counterparty customer analysis; portfolio strategies and profitability; technology and operations; finance, tax and accounting considerations; and regulatory and corporate policy considerations.

The paper focuses on potential impacts of a U.S. negative interest rate policy to capital markets products such as U.S. dollar bonds and securitizations, repo and reverse repo transactions, derivatives, and money market fund brokerage sweep accounts.