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BIS: Anchoring Of Inflation Expectations: Has Past Progress Paid Off?

Date 17/03/2022

BIS Bulletin  |  No 51  |  
17 March 2022

Key takeaways

  • In the decade before the pandemic, inflation expectations became less volatile worldwide, as well as more consistent with inflation targets and less sensitive to inflation surprises.
  • This progress has paid off for many economies during the past year's surge in inflation: long-term expectations have remained largely anchored, but with notable exceptions.
  • Anchored expectations provide room for monetary policy manoeuvre, but how strongly they remain anchored will depend on central banks keeping inflation in line with their stated objectives.

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